Navua vs Nadroga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LAU
4 - 3
NAV
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NAV
2 - 1
NAD
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LAB
0 - 1
NAV
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NAD
1 - 2
NAV
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 0
TAI
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nadroga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAD
2 - 2
LAB
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
NAD
0 - 1
BAF
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NAV
2 - 1
NAD
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
NAD
2 - 1
SUV
30%
24%
47%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TAI
2 - 1
NAD
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |