Sul-Matogrossense Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Naviraiense vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2010 |
NAV
1 - 0
RIO
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAV
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
7DE
0 - 4
NAV
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
NAV
2 - 1
IVI
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
NAV
3 - 3
COR
53%
23%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
COR
4 - 2
CHA
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
SAA
2 - 1
CHA
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CHA
5 - 0
AQU
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 1
CEN
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAM
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |