Naviraiense vs 7 de Setembro SM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
COR
2 - 2
NAV
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
NAV
5 - 1
MAR
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
COM
0 - 2
NAV
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 1
NAV
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 0
AQU
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
7 de Setembro SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
7DE
4 - 0
COR
23%
25%
53%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 3
7DE
34%
25%
42%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
COM
2 - 3
7DE
68%
21%
12%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
7DE
2 - 2
AGU
29%
26%
46%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AQU
0 - 0
7DE
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |