Navia CF vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
MOS
0 - 2
NAI
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
COL
1 - 4
NAI
24%
25%
51%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
NAI
0 - 0
CAU
21%
27%
52%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
UNI
4 - 0
NAI
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
NAI
0 - 5
AST
42%
27%
31%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
NAR
0 - 1
CAU
12%
26%
62%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
UNI
6 - 0
NAR
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
NAR
0 - 3
AST
18%
27%
55%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
HIS
5 - 2
NAR
53%
25%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
NAR
2 - 3
ROB
15%
25%
60%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |