Navia CF vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+187%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
NAI
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
NAI
0 - 3
LUA
31%
27%
42%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 0
NAI
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NAI
0 - 1
UPL
20%
25%
55%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ROB
2 - 1
NAI
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 3
URR
39%
25%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TUI
4 - 3
ATL
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
UNI
27%
24%
48%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CEA
3 - 0
ATL
42%
28%
31%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 3
CUD
37%
27%
36%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |