Navia CF vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 2
NAI
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
NAI
2 - 0
AND
56%
23%
21%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
3 - 4
NAI
55%
22%
22%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
NAI
3 - 1
LEN
48%
24%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 3
NAI
34%
25%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 2
COM
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 2
ATL
46%
24%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 0
NAR
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DPT
3 - 1
ATL
38%
26%
37%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 0
TAP
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |