Navecortine vs Concesio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navecortine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ADR
1 - 1
NAV
69%
18%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 0
BOR
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
REA
0 - 1
NAV
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 0
VAL
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 2
DAK
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Concesio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
SZE
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ROD
1 - 1
CON
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
CAS
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VOB
2 - 2
CON
77%
15%
9%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 2
CAL
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |