Navbahor vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
24.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
10º
4º
27
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navbahor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 0
NAV
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 0
FKO
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
NAV
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 0
NEF
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 2
NAV
38%
28%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
QIZ
3 - 3
AND
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
DSA
2 - 0
QIZ
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PAK
1 - 1
QIZ
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
QIZ
2 - 4
FKO
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MET
0 - 0
QIZ
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |