Navbahor vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
9º
7º
30
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 40 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 37 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 36 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 34 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 34 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 26 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 24 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 22 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 20 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 19 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 18 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 16 |
16º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0.5% | 23.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
7% | 24.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 52% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navbahor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
PAK
2 - 0
NAV
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
XOR
1 - 3
NAV
24%
24%
53%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
NAV
6 - 0
MAS
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
NAV
3 - 0
OLM
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
NAS
1 - 0
NAV
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
NEF
2 - 0
XOR
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
DSA
0 - 2
NEF
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
QIZ
1 - 1
NEF
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
NEF
0 - 1
MAS
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
NEF
1 - 0
BUX
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |