AFC Champions League Elite Last 16
Global 1-2
Navbahor vs Al-Ittihad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navbahor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 2
NAV
62%
21%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
MUM
1 - 2
NAV
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 1
NEF
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 2
ALH
17%
22%
61%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
FKO
2 - 1
NAV
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
ALT
0 - 3
ALI
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALF
0 - 4
ALI
37%
24%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 5
ALN
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 3
ALR
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 1
ALI
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |