Navata A A vs Vila Sacra A A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
68.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navata A A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 3
NAV
36%
22%
41%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
NAV
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NAV
6 - 1
ESP
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Vila Sacra A A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 1
GAR
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SIU
3 - 4
VIL
19%
20%
62%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SEL
0 - 8
VIL
29%
21%
50%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LLE
2 - 4
VIL
25%
21%
54%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |