Navata vs Llers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAD
1 - 3
NAV
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 1
POR
40%
21%
39%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SLM
3 - 2
NAV
44%
22%
35%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NAV
4 - 3
CBC
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LLA
4 - 0
NAV
36%
22%
42%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Llers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 4
LLE
59%
20%
21%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
LLE
3 - 4
POR
25%
20%
54%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SLM
6 - 0
LLE
59%
19%
21%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
LLE
1 - 6
CBC
22%
21%
57%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LLA
3 - 2
LLE
50%
21%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |