Las Navas vs Navatalgordo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Navas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 1
LAS
55%
19%
25%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
LAS
4 - 0
BOS
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
HOY
2 - 3
LAS
58%
18%
24%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LAS
7 - 1
MIJ
73%
14%
13%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 4
LAS
44%
19%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Navatalgordo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 6
CEB
27%
21%
51%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
6 - 1
NAV
84%
10%
6%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 3
BUR
62%
18%
21%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
5 - 0
NAV
36%
21%
42%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 0
RAM
77%
13%
10%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |