Las Navas vs Bosco Arévalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Navas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
MIR
1 - 0
LAS
70%
18%
13%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
LAS
3 - 1
SAL
18%
22%
61%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
AVI
2 - 2
LAS
45%
24%
31%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
LAS
0 - 2
VDB
20%
23%
57%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CAT
3 - 1
LAS
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bosco Arévalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
CAS
2 - 1
BOS
44%
24%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
BOS
0 - 2
ESR
28%
24%
48%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
UNA
2 - 0
BOS
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
BOS
2 - 0
NAV
41%
25%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
VIL
3 - 1
BOS
68%
19%
13%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |