Navas del Rey vs Union Carrascal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
45.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+230%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navas del Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ALA
7 - 1
NDR
72%
15%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
NDR
2 - 1
PVE
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
NDR
8 - 1
MBA
57%
19%
24%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
4 - 2
NDR
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
INA
2 - 1
NDR
30%
23%
48%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
UCA
4 - 0
VIL
35%
22%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
UCA
9 - 1
INA
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CFC
3 - 2
UCA
34%
22%
45%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
UCA
1 - 1
SNA
38%
22%
40%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 3
UCA
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |