Navas del Rey vs Estudiantes Alcorcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+113%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navas del Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
NDR
4 - 0
CDE
53%
20%
26%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MCF
2 - 2
NDR
72%
16%
13%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
NDR
1 - 1
CHA
55%
21%
25%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NDR
2 - 2
SEV
20%
20%
61%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ROB
4 - 0
NDR
85%
10%
6%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes Alcorcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ROB
1 - 1
ESA
81%
11%
8%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ESA
1 - 1
CDM
62%
19%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
ESA
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ESA
1 - 2
ADF
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
HOG
1 - 3
ESA
34%
21%
44%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |