Navas de Oro Luzco vs El Espinar Arlequin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
66.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navas de Oro Luzco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SMM
6 - 2
NOL
84%
10%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
NOL
2 - 4
ATC
32%
21%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
NOL
1 - 3
VAL
47%
21%
32%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NOL
1 - 4
PIN
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
El Espinar Arlequin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ESA
3 - 2
CAB
65%
17%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
POL
0 - 1
ESA
22%
20%
58%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ESA
1 - 1
VAL
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BER
0 - 3
ESA
36%
22%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +2 |