Navas de la Concepción vs Carmonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navas de la Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
NAV
43%
23%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 2
LIC
38%
22%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CDD
5 - 2
NAV
63%
18%
19%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 1
MOS
33%
22%
45%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAI
6 - 1
NAV
78%
13%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carmonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 3
GUA
34%
22%
45%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
ALC
25%
21%
54%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PEÑ
0 - 3
CAR
38%
23%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 2
LIC
39%
22%
39%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CDD
5 - 2
CAR
65%
17%
17%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |