Navas de la Concepción vs Calavera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
62.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navas de la Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
NAV
1 - 3
UBB
29%
21%
50%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NAV
2 - 2
PRI
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 5
NAV
62%
18%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 2
PEÑ
40%
22%
37%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
NAV
7 - 3
SAN
54%
20%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
5 - 0
MIN
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LIC
1 - 2
CAL
16%
19%
66%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAL
22%
19%
59%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
6 - 0
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CON
1 - 3
CAL
23%
20%
57%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |