Navas de la Concepción vs Alcolea del Río F.C. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
63.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navas de la Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MIN
2 - 0
NAV
42%
23%
36%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
5 - 5
ALC
19%
20%
62%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
5 - 2
NAV
71%
16%
14%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 3
CAR
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
NAV
43%
23%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alcolea del Río F.C.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 1
GUA
56%
21%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
ALC
33%
23%
45%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
ALC
19%
21%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
5 - 0
LIC
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CDD
2 - 2
ALC
45%
22%
34%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |