Navas CD vs Carolinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
57.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navas CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CAZ
2 - 1
NAV
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
NAV
1 - 1
IDJ
42%
23%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CDH
4 - 1
NAV
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NAV
1 - 2
CDT
42%
21%
37%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NAV
2 - 0
UBE
22%
20%
57%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 2
ICF
71%
17%
13%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAB
1 - 0
CAR
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 0
CDV
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BAE
0 - 1
CAR
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BEG
1 - 1
CAR
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |