Navarro vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
57.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
AND
2 - 3
NAV
32%
26%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
NAV
1 - 1
RTI
47%
26%
27%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 3
NAV
66%
21%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
NAV
4 - 2
TUR
72%
18%
11%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
NAV
1 - 5
UNI
42%
26%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
UPL
1 - 1
AST
81%
15%
5%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
UNI
1 - 3
UPL
23%
26%
52%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
UPL
1 - 1
LLA
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
NAI
1 - 1
UPL
26%
26%
49%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
AVI
4 - 1
UPL
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |