Navarro vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AST
1 - 3
NAV
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NAV
2 - 0
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AND
1 - 1
NAV
22%
23%
55%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 0
LUA
43%
25%
32%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
REA
1 - 2
NAV
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
COM
1 - 3
ATL
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AST
3 - 3
COM
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
COM
1 - 4
SIE
30%
22%
48%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
COM
41%
23%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
COM
4 - 1
LLA
60%
20%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |