Navarro vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PCF
1 - 4
NAV
30%
26%
44%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 0
TIN
56%
24%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 2
NAV
47%
25%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 0
CAM
63%
21%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MOS
4 - 0
NAV
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
COM
0 - 0
NAL
68%
19%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 3
COM
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
COM
1 - 4
RAY
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
NAI
2 - 2
COM
8%
17%
75%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
COM
2 - 0
L20
59%
21%
19%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |