Navarro vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CLA
5 - 1
NAV
26%
24%
51%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 0
ROC
73%
18%
8%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 4
NAV
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NAV
6 - 0
UNI
60%
23%
17%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ESM
0 - 0
NAV
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 4
RIB
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 2
UCO
27%
26%
48%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 1
AST
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
GIN
1 - 0
UCO
52%
24%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
UCO
5 - 0
TUR
46%
25%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |