Navarro vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
NAV
27%
26%
47%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 3
LEN
46%
26%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 2
NAV
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 0
CAN
76%
17%
7%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 0
AND
33%
26%
41%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 1
MAD
16%
21%
63%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LUA
5 - 3
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 2
ESM
18%
21%
62%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
UCO
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
1 - 0
UCO
37%
23%
40%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |