Navarro vs Ribadesella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
COV
3 - 2
NAV
53%
24%
23%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 4
SIE
55%
25%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
GIN
3 - 1
NAV
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
2 - 0
CUD
35%
27%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
NAV
40%
27%
33%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ribadesella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
RIB
1 - 2
AVI
49%
25%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
4 - 3
RIB
28%
25%
48%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
RIB
0 - 0
AST
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
TUI
1 - 0
RIB
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
LLA
0 - 0
RIB
60%
22%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |