Navarro vs Real Sporting C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
AST
1 - 2
NAV
22%
22%
57%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 5
NAV
30%
24%
47%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 0
VAL
49%
25%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
NAV
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
NAV
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
REA
4 - 0
COM
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
REA
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AND
2 - 1
REA
26%
24%
51%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
REA
0 - 0
FRE
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
AST
1 - 1
REA
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |