Navarro vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
BER
1 - 1
NAV
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
NAV
2 - 4
RIB
22%
25%
53%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
RTI
0 - 2
NAV
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
NAV
1 - 2
UNI
35%
27%
39%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
GIN
1 - 1
NAV
43%
26%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
SPB
0 - 0
CAU
55%
23%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
LEA
6 - 0
SPB
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -3 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
SPB
0 - 1
AST
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
COV
0 - 0
SPB
15%
25%
60%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SPB
0 - 1
CEA
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |