Navarro vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
62.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
CEA
2 - 1
NAV
64%
21%
15%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
NAV
3 - 2
RTI
22%
27%
52%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
CON
0 - 0
NAV
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
NAV
3 - 0
TUR
81%
13%
5%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
PCF
1 - 1
NAV
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
SPB
0 - 0
AST
56%
23%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
HIS
0 - 5
SPB
12%
23%
65%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
CEA
0 - 0
SPB
19%
24%
57%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
SPB
3 - 1
LLA
77%
16%
8%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
MOS
1 - 2
SPB
15%
24%
61%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |