Navarro vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
56.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
NAV
3 - 1
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
LEA
5 - 0
NAV
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
NAV
1 - 1
MOS
63%
22%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
COL
4 - 2
NAV
31%
27%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
NAV
5 - 1
SLA
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SPB
2 - 0
LEA
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
CON
0 - 2
SPB
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
SPB
3 - 0
GER
48%
25%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
PON
2 - 3
SPB
56%
24%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SPB
0 - 2
AUR
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |