Navarro vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
MOS
2 - 1
NAV
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2001 |
NAV
0 - 0
COL
53%
25%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
SLA
0 - 1
NAV
13%
20%
67%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
NAV
1 - 0
SIE
19%
26%
55%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +4 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
TUR
2 - 3
NAV
28%
26%
46%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
AVI
5 - 0
NAR
67%
21%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2001 |
NAR
1 - 1
MOS
44%
28%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
NAR
2 - 0
DPT
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
COL
3 - 0
NAR
51%
26%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
NAR
2 - 1
PCF
30%
28%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |