Navarro vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
PIL
4 - 3
NAV
38%
26%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
NAV
2 - 0
LEA
17%
24%
59%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +4 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
NAI
2 - 1
NAV
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
AST
2 - 2
NAV
33%
27%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
NAV
1 - 3
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
NAR
0 - 1
AST
51%
27%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
UNI
3 - 0
NAR
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
NAR
1 - 1
LLA
29%
26%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
UPL
2 - 1
NAR
76%
17%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
NAR
0 - 0
AND
58%
24%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |