Navarro vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1997 |
CAU
3 - 5
NAV
81%
14%
5%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
NAV
1 - 1
TUI
62%
22%
17%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
SMA
1 - 5
NAV
70%
20%
10%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
NAV
1 - 1
CAN
55%
24%
21%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
GIN
2 - 1
NAV
51%
26%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1997 |
NAR
1 - 0
HIS
44%
26%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
LEA
5 - 0
NAR
71%
18%
11%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
NAR
1 - 0
TUR
42%
26%
33%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
RTI
0 - 0
NAR
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
NAR
2 - 1
SIE
25%
26%
49%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |