Navarro vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
AND
1 - 1
NAV
36%
26%
38%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 0
AST
31%
28%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
LDV
3 - 2
NAV
8%
17%
75%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 3
URR
21%
28%
52%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
NAV
25%
24%
51%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
ATL
43%
24%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
GIN
34%
27%
40%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 0
ATL
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AND
0 - 2
ATL
25%
25%
50%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 0
LEN
38%
27%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |