Navarro vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 1
CEA
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LUA
0 - 0
NAV
43%
27%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 5
ROB
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 2
UPL
26%
26%
48%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
COV
2 - 1
NAV
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
RIB
0 - 2
ATL
33%
28%
39%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
LEN
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SMA
0 - 3
ATL
10%
24%
65%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
CAR
63%
22%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
ATL
39%
27%
34%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |