Navarro vs Astur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LLA
1 - 2
NAV
61%
22%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 0
ROC
39%
25%
36%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 1
NAV
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 0
TUR
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
NAV
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
AST
2 - 1
NAL
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 2
AST
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
AST
1 - 4
RAY
60%
21%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
NAI
0 - 6
AST
9%
17%
74%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
AST
2 - 1
L20
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |