Navarcles vs Vilada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+137%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarcles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
AVI
4 - 2
NAV
65%
17%
18%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
4 - 2
CAS
55%
19%
26%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
NAV
47%
21%
31%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 1
PUI
64%
17%
19%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NAV
5 - 4
PUI
56%
19%
24%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vilada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 4
SLM
34%
21%
45%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SSC
2 - 1
VIL
68%
17%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SUR
2 - 3
VIL
65%
17%
18%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 6
AVI
18%
20%
63%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |