Navarcles vs Casserres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
8.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+112%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarcles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CCR
2 - 1
NAV
32%
20%
48%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
NAV
6 - 1
OLV
83%
11%
7%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VTO
0 - 10
NAV
19%
19%
62%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
NAV
5 - 2
SPM
69%
15%
16%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
AVI
1 - 0
NAV
52%
20%
27%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
MON
46%
24%
30%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIL
51%
21%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CCR
3 - 2
CAS
51%
20%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
OLV
51%
22%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VTO
1 - 6
CAS
47%
22%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |