Navarcles vs Casserres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+137%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarcles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
NAV
47%
21%
31%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 1
PUI
64%
17%
19%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NAV
5 - 4
PUI
56%
19%
24%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VTO
1 - 3
NAV
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 3
SAL
33%
22%
46%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
SLM
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SSC
1 - 2
CAS
69%
17%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
AVI
15%
19%
66%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SUR
9 - 3
CAS
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -2 |