Navarcles vs Casserres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
42.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+137%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarcles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
3 - 1
NAV
44%
22%
34%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 2
AVI
46%
22%
32%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 3
NAV
43%
23%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 3
PUI
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 4
PUI
26%
22%
53%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 2
PUI
26%
22%
53%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SUR
4 - 4
CAS
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BER
3 - 1
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
VTO
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |