Navarcles vs Calders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
32.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+137%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarcles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
NAV
57%
19%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SUR
3 - 2
NAV
40%
21%
39%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
NAV
4 - 2
SLM
54%
19%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SSC
5 - 0
NAV
64%
18%
18%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NAV
5 - 0
VIL
62%
18%
20%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Calders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 2
SLM
61%
19%
21%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SSC
2 - 0
CAL
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
13 - 1
VIL
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AVI
1 - 0
CAL
63%
18%
19%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
CAS
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |