Naval vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
ESP
1 - 0
NAV
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
NAV
0 - 2
PEN
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
FCM
0 - 3
NAV
53%
24%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
NAV
1 - 2
UNI
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
NAV
0 - 2
RIO
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
VST
1 - 1
LEC
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
VST
1 - 0
ESP
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
OVA
3 - 1
VST
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
VST
2 - 1
PEN
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
LOU
3 - 1
VST
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | -1 |