Naval vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
NAV
14%
18%
68%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ADN
1 - 3
NAV
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 0
NAV
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
FAT
43%
28%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 0
ADM
53%
21%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 2
CRA
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 1
VIT
17%
20%
63%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 0
BEN
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
POM
4 - 1
VIT
46%
24%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |