Naval vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
56.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
NAV
60%
24%
16%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAV
27%
25%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
CRA
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
NAV
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 0
ALC
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UDL
3 - 1
CRA
82%
13%
4%
|
58 | 23 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
UDL
12%
21%
68%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 0
ALC
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SER
0 - 1
UDL
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UDL
6 - 2
ADM
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |