Naval vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
NAV
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
NAV
0 - 1
LEX
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
NAV
0 - 3
VIT
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 0
NAV
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 2
UNM
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
EST
0 - 0
SPC
59%
23%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 0
AVE
39%
27%
33%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TRO
2 - 1
SPC
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SPC
3 - 0
FAT
54%
24%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |