Naval vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 0
CAL
22%
27%
51%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
NAV
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
5 - 1
NAV
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -3 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 2
VIT
40%
25%
34%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
NAV
59%
24%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SER
4 - 0
VIT
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
SER
50%
27%
23%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
SER
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
PEN
66%
21%
14%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SER
0 - 2
ADM
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |