Naval vs SC Freamunde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
NAV
49%
28%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
AVE
1 - 1
NAV
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NAV
2 - 1
SPC
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
NAV
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SC Freamunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SCF
2 - 0
UNM
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 0
SCF
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SCF
2 - 2
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 0
SCF
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SCF
3 - 1
TRO
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |