Naval vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 0
NAV
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
FAT
43%
28%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
FAT
2 - 2
NAV
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
NAV
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 0
SOU
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
CRA
63%
21%
17%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 3
PEN
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
GRA
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 5
PEN
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 0
PAT
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |