Naval vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
NAC
3 - 2
NAV
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
VST
2 - 1
NAV
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
NAV
0 - 3
ESP
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
PEN
0 - 1
NAV
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
NAV
2 - 1
FCM
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
MOR
0 - 1
FEL
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
MOR
1 - 2
BOA
17%
24%
60%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2001 |
MOR
5 - 2
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2000 |
FEI
0 - 2
MOR
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
MOR
4 - 3
VIT
25%
26%
48%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |